FORECASTS

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Attention citizens of South Central KY Fall (the season that is usually colorful and colder) has disappeared and seems no where to be found. Today tied the record of 80℉ for the 17th of November set all the way back in 1958! It certainly has not felt like fall this week, sure we have had couple of cold shots, but nothing compared with the cold we should be feeling in the month of November.

Will there be a change to a more seasonal pattern anytime soon, helping to relieve our drought? My friends it does indeed look like there will be hope for us after all. A very potent cold front looks to sweep through us Friday evening.

Figure 1: 12Z GFS 1000-500mb Thickness Valid 06Z Sat Nov. 19th 2016 (Friday Evening) Source: MeteoStar Weather Models

Until then we will have to contend with some more warm days. Clear skies this evening will yield a very quick temperature drop into the mid 40s to low 50s. Tomorrow expect mostly sunny skies accompanied by some very gusty winds of 23-27mph possible. The NWS in Louisville is concerned about the elevated fire weather danger with the strong southerly winds and dry conditions. WKU Storm Team will keep you all updated on the situation should any advisories be put out tomorrow. 
Friday evening the cold front will roll through bringing RAIN (yes, I know it has been a while) to the region. Instability may be good enough to support some isolated rumbles of thunder embedded within the showers. Rainfall amounts will be anywhere 1/4-1/3″ across the region. Not exactly a drought quencher but every little bit will help, especially with the ongoing wildfires.
Cooler weather will settle in behind the front on Saturday. Gusty winds up to 23 mph are still possible. Highs will be in the low-mid 40s with upper 40s possible in the western parts of South Central KY. Wind chill will also be a factor making it FEEL like mid 30s in some spots. 
Grab a rain jacket and warm clothes for this next stretch of weather. Looking further into the future it doesn’t appear to change much, with many systems lined up out in the Pacific.
Have a great night,
Alex Williams
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